Does Governor Rendell's Proposal Solve the Uninsured Problem?
Cover All Pennsylvanians (CAP)	2008	2008/09	2009/10	2010/11	2011/12
	(First Half of Year)
Uninsured (18+) Estimate1	848,000	898,880	952,813	1,009,982	1,070,580
CAP Enrollees2	96,618	168,945	197,445	198,492	198,322
Taxpayer Cost (Thousands)3	$399,705	$728,814	$839,988	$907,338	$983,383
Total CAP Uninsured with 0% "Crowd Out"4	751,382	729,935	755,368	811,490	872,258
Estimated "Crowd Out"5	0%	20%	30%	40%	50%
Net Reduction of Uninsured	96,618	135,156	138,212	119,095	99,161
Total CAP Uninsured with Estimated "Crowd Out"	751,382	763,724	814,601	890,886	971,419
1 6% annual increase--based upon average percentage increase of uninsured over last 10 years.
2 Governor Rendell's estimate, excluding Medical Assistance (from prior estimate) and adultBasic participants.
3 Including federal funds, excluding state and federal Medical Assistance spending and current Adult Basic Spending
4 "Crowd out" is the number of uninsureds previously covered by private insurance.
5 Non-scientific, conservative estimate based upon "crowd out" studies.
Prepared by Commonwealth Foundation, www.CommonwealthFoundation.org